Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.627488 0.812400 1.021603 1.272831 1.563372 1.886001 2.268496
2025-05-04 0.359159 0.579742 0.864434 1.244946 1.726644 2.303419 3.033286
2025-05-11 0.197580 0.411862 0.730509 1.202709 1.850185 2.675086 3.773187
2025-05-18 0.113850 0.313705 0.656237 1.213256 2.029559 3.121466 4.631321
2025-05-25 0.057541 0.226388 0.567248 1.177463 2.130819 3.464143 5.370612
2025-06-01 0.034605 0.190247 0.550759 1.245000 2.380270 4.017132 6.410256
2025-06-08 0.016768 0.147032 0.504074 1.249771 2.529212 4.431995 7.276020
2025-06-15 0.009943 0.131198 0.508705 1.342828 2.820212 5.061549 8.458545
2025-06-22 0.004823 0.111308 0.495844 1.398805 3.051781 5.610658 9.543210
2025-06-29 0.001715 0.090277 0.470638 1.424405 3.231061 6.085492 10.533372
2025-07-06 0.000234 0.066060 0.423032 1.393566 3.307312 6.402434 11.301143
2025-07-13 0.000007 0.052257 0.400098 1.410249 3.465373 6.848669 12.266287
2025-07-20 NaN 0.040420 0.377378 1.425561 3.625882 7.311790 13.280963
2025-07-27 NaN 0.026774 0.333938 1.382035 3.672421 7.593798 14.033479
2025-08-03 NaN 0.016423 0.291479 1.329912 3.695694 7.836224 14.730571
2025-08-10 NaN 0.011496 0.273114 1.337710 3.835612 8.274328 15.735272
2025-08-17 NaN 0.006468 0.240962 1.297658 3.873931 8.541375 16.480490
2025-08-24 NaN 0.005455 0.245388 1.368847 4.146304 9.213151 17.867933
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003381 0.229803 1.373444 4.277666 9.645888 18.888507
2025-09-07 NaN 0.003198 0.242329 1.472369 4.615801 10.444024 20.497120
2025-09-14 NaN 0.002487 0.243143 1.531822 4.870784 11.102784 21.895129
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001600 0.235043 1.558985 5.056087 11.643579 23.114153
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000638 0.211720 1.526135 5.105559 11.945447 23.956633